BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegion#19 in the world · win 2:0series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Astralis#12 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageGamerLegion pick
50%60%
GamerLegion · 2 mapsedge Astralis +10%Astralis · 1 map
NukeAstralis pick
60%60%
GamerLegion · 1 mapnearly even +0%Astralis · 1 map
AncientAstralis ban
40%50%
GamerLegion · 1 mapedge Astralis +10%Astralis · 0 maps
Dust2GamerLegion ban
50%40%
GamerLegion · 0 mapsedge GamerLegion +10%Astralis · 1 map
InfernoAstralis ban
40%50%
GamerLegion · 1 mapedge Astralis +10%Astralis · 0 maps
OverpassGamerLegion ban
50%40%
GamerLegion · 0 mapsedge GamerLegion +10%Astralis · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGamerLegion remove Dust2
2. BanAstralis remove Ancient
3. PickGamerLegion take Mirage
4. PickAstralis take Nuke
5. BanAstralis remove Inferno
6. BanGamerLegion remove Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct13:8
GamerLegion 57%Astralis 43%
The model gave 57% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Infernoprediction missed16:14
GamerLegion 43%Astralis 57%
The model gave 57% on Astralis — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Model check result
Model favoriteAstralis · 73%
Series resultGamerLegion 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2