PGL Bucharest 2027 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegion#27 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
40%53%
GamerLegion · 6 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +13%ex-RUSTEC · 45 maps
Nukepossible decider
58%54%
GamerLegion · 8 mapsnearly even +4%ex-RUSTEC · 35 maps
MirageGamerLegion ban
25%50%
GamerLegion · 8 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +25%ex-RUSTEC · 22 maps
AnubisGamerLegion ban
50%70%
GamerLegion · 0 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +20%ex-RUSTEC · 29 maps
CacheGamerLegion pick
77%47%
GamerLegion · 9 mapsedge GamerLegion +30%ex-RUSTEC · 15 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
50%64%
GamerLegion · 12 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +14%ex-RUSTEC · 7 maps
Infernoex-RUSTEC ban
60%53%
GamerLegion · 1 mapedge GamerLegion +7%ex-RUSTEC · 15 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGamerLegion remove Anubis
2. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
3. PickGamerLegion take Cache
4. Pickex-RUSTEC take Dust2
5. Banex-RUSTEC remove Inferno
6. BanGamerLegion remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (58% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct11:13
GamerLegion 34%ex-RUSTEC 66%
The model gave 66% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Infernoprediction missed6:13
GamerLegion 60%ex-RUSTEC 40%
The model gave 60% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 76%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2