Tipsport Open Cup 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
GamersLabloss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
eSuba#293 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GamersLab pick
50%29%
GamersLab · 0 mapsedge GamersLab +21%eSuba · 3 maps
InfernoeSuba pick
50%57%
GamersLab · 0 mapsedge eSuba +7%eSuba · 3 maps
AnubiseSuba ban
50%40%
GamersLab · 0 mapsedge GamersLab +10%eSuba · 1 map
MirageGamersLab ban
50%60%
GamersLab · 0 mapsedge eSuba +10%eSuba · 1 map
NukeeSuba ban
50%40%
GamersLab · 0 mapsedge GamersLab +10%eSuba · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGamersLab remove Mirage
2. BaneSuba remove Anubis
3. PickGamersLab take Dust2
4. PickeSuba take Inferno
5. BaneSuba remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed8:13
GamersLab 63%eSuba 37%
The model gave 63% on GamersLab — the map was taken by eSuba.
Ancientprediction correct9:13
GamersLab 47%eSuba 53%
The model gave 53% on eSuba — the map was taken by eSuba.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamersLab · 50%
Series resulteSuba 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2