CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#121 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BAKS#106 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
52%41%
GenOne · 29 mapsedge GenOne +11%BAKS · 18 maps
CacheBAKS pick
36%59%
GenOne · 10 mapsedge BAKS +23%BAKS · 30 maps
NukeGenOne ban
40%45%
GenOne · 16 mapsedge BAKS +5%BAKS · 16 maps
Ancientpossible decider
65%58%
GenOne · 16 mapsedge GenOne +7%BAKS · 8 maps
InfernoBAKS ban
61%23%
GenOne · 14 mapsedge GenOne +38%BAKS · 9 maps
AnubisBAKS ban
78%50%
GenOne · 14 mapsedge GenOne +28%BAKS · 0 maps
MirageGenOne ban
50%73%
GenOne · 0 mapsedge BAKS +23%BAKS · 11 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Mirage
2. BanBAKS remove Anubis
3. PickGenOne take Dust2
4. PickBAKS take Cache
5. BanBAKS remove Inferno
6. BanGenOne remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (65% / 58%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:7
GenOne 86%BAKS 14%
The model gave 86% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Cacheprediction correct4:13
GenOne 26%BAKS 74%
The model gave 74% on BAKS — the map was taken by BAKS.
Nukeprediction correct1:13
GenOne 45%BAKS 55%
The model gave 55% on BAKS — the map was taken by BAKS.
Model check result
Model favoriteBAKS · 53%
Series resultBAKS 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3