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NODWIN Clutch Series 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#121 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Bushido Wildcats#113 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
58%65%
GenOne · 32 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +7%Bushido Wildcats · 51 map
NukeGenOne ban
45%55%
GenOne · 16 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +10%Bushido Wildcats · 29 maps
MirageGenOne ban
50%51%
GenOne · 0 mapsnearly even -1%Bushido Wildcats · 41 map
Infernopossible decider
60%50%
GenOne · 16 mapsedge GenOne +10%Bushido Wildcats · 16 maps
CacheBushido Wildcats pick
38%54%
GenOne · 9 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +16%Bushido Wildcats · 20 maps
AnubisBushido Wildcats ban
75%39%
GenOne · 12 mapsedge GenOne +36%Bushido Wildcats · 14 maps
AncientBushido Wildcats ban
64%50%
GenOne · 21 mapedge GenOne +14%Bushido Wildcats · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Mirage
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Ancient
3. PickGenOne take Dust2
4. PickBushido Wildcats take Cache
5. BanBushido Wildcats remove Anubis
6. BanGenOne remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct9:13
GenOne 32%Bushido Wildcats 68%
The model gave 68% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Anubisprediction correct13:7
GenOne 84%Bushido Wildcats 16%
The model gave 84% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Dust2prediction correct16:19
GenOne 42%Bushido Wildcats 58%
The model gave 58% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 53%
Series resultBushido Wildcats 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3