Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CYBERSHOKE#90 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
71%54%
GenOne · 48 mapsedge GenOne +17%CYBERSHOKE · 20 maps
AncientCYBERSHOKE pick
45%60%
GenOne · 27 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +15%CYBERSHOKE · 16 maps
Nukepossible decider
57%50%
GenOne · 26 mapsedge GenOne +7%CYBERSHOKE · 8 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
39%50%
GenOne · 14 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +11%CYBERSHOKE · 8 maps
AnubisCYBERSHOKE ban
60%38%
GenOne · 11 mapsedge GenOne +22%CYBERSHOKE · 4 maps
InfernoCYBERSHOKE ban
53%50%
GenOne · 15 mapsnearly even +3%CYBERSHOKE · 0 maps
MirageGenOne ban
50%61%
GenOne · 0 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +11%CYBERSHOKE · 14 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Mirage
2. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Inferno
3. PickGenOne take Dust2
4. PickCYBERSHOKE take Ancient
5. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Anubis
6. BanGenOne remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
GenOne 70%CYBERSHOKE 30%
The model gave 70% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Ancientprediction missed13:0
GenOne 33%CYBERSHOKE 67%
The model gave 67% on CYBERSHOKE — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 51%
Series resultGenOne 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2