CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:1series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
69%52%
GenOne · 44 mapsedge GenOne +17%ex-RUSTEC · 19 maps
Nukeex-RUSTEC ban
58%42%
GenOne · 20 mapsedge GenOne +16%ex-RUSTEC · 15 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
54%50%
GenOne · 31 mapnearly even +4%ex-RUSTEC · 0 maps
Anubisex-RUSTEC pick
71%60%
GenOne · 13 mapsedge GenOne +11%ex-RUSTEC · 16 maps
Infernopossible decider
42%50%
GenOne · 15 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +8%ex-RUSTEC · 8 maps
CacheGenOne ban
44%42%
GenOne · 5 mapsnearly even +2%ex-RUSTEC · 8 maps
MirageGenOne ban
50%67%
GenOne · 0 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +17%ex-RUSTEC · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Mirage
2. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
3. PickGenOne take Dust2
4. Pickex-RUSTEC take Anubis
5. Banex-RUSTEC remove Nuke
6. BanGenOne remove Cache
DeciderInferno (42% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:5
GenOne 39%ex-RUSTEC 61%
The model gave 61% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by GenOne.
Dust2prediction missed7:13
GenOne 69%ex-RUSTEC 31%
The model gave 69% on GenOne — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Anubisprediction correct13:8
GenOne 62%ex-RUSTEC 38%
The model gave 62% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 82%
Series resultGenOne 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3