LeonBet Masters Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
FaZe Up Next#151 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
61%50%
GenOne · 34 mapsedge GenOne +11%FaZe Up Next · 0 maps
AncientFaZe Up Next pick
60%60%
GenOne · 21 mapnearly even +0%FaZe Up Next · 1 map
InfernoFaZe Up Next ban
57%50%
GenOne · 17 mapsedge GenOne +7%FaZe Up Next · 0 maps
NukeGenOne ban
41%60%
GenOne · 13 mapsedge FaZe Up Next +19%FaZe Up Next · 1 map
Anubispossible decider
86%60%
GenOne · 10 mapsedge GenOne +26%FaZe Up Next · 1 map
CacheGenOne ban
36%40%
GenOne · 7 mapsnearly even -4%FaZe Up Next · 1 map
DefaultFaZe Up Next ban
60%50%
GenOne · 1 mapedge GenOne +10%FaZe Up Next · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Cache
2. BanFaZe Up Next remove Inferno
3. PickGenOne take Dust2
4. PickFaZe Up Next take Ancient
5. BanFaZe Up Next remove Default
6. BanGenOne remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (86% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:3
GenOne 29%FaZe Up Next 71%
The model gave 71% on FaZe Up Next — the map was taken by GenOne.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
GenOne 63%FaZe Up Next 37%
The model gave 63% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 73%
Series resultGenOne 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2