Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Galactik rebels ban
72%50%
GenOne · 49 mapsedge GenOne +22%Galactik rebels · 0 maps
AncientGalactik rebels ban
48%50%
GenOne · 29 mapsnearly even -2%Galactik rebels · 0 maps
NukeGenOne pick
60%40%
GenOne · 26 mapsedge GenOne +20%Galactik rebels · 1 map
InfernoGalactik rebels pick
50%60%
GenOne · 16 mapsedge Galactik rebels +10%Galactik rebels · 1 map
Anubispossible decider
67%50%
GenOne · 14 mapsedge GenOne +17%Galactik rebels · 2 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
40%50%
GenOne · 11 mapsedge Galactik rebels +10%Galactik rebels · 0 maps
CacheGenOne ban
44%50%
GenOne · 5 mapsedge Galactik rebels +6%Galactik rebels · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Overpass
2. BanGalactik rebels remove Dust2
3. PickGenOne take Nuke
4. PickGalactik rebels take Inferno
5. BanGalactik rebels remove Ancient
6. BanGenOne remove Cache
DeciderAnubis (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:5
GenOne 37%Galactik rebels 63%
The model gave 63% on Galactik rebels — the map was taken by GenOne.
Ancientprediction correct13:3
GenOne 51%Galactik rebels 49%
The model gave 51% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 77%
Series resultGenOne 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2