HyperX Retake Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#121 in the world · win 2:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
60%50%
GenOne · 31 mapedge GenOne +10%Giant Pandas · 2 maps
AncientGiant Pandas ban
58%40%
GenOne · 20 mapsedge GenOne +18%Giant Pandas · 1 map
InfernoGiant Pandas pick
47%50%
GenOne · 15 mapsnearly even -3%Giant Pandas · 0 maps
Nukepossible decider
41%40%
GenOne · 13 mapsnearly even +1%Giant Pandas · 1 map
AnubisGiant Pandas ban
85%50%
GenOne · 9 mapsedge GenOne +35%Giant Pandas · 0 maps
CacheGenOne ban
40%50%
GenOne · 6 mapsedge Giant Pandas +10%Giant Pandas · 0 maps
DefaultGenOne ban
50%40%
GenOne · 0 mapsedge GenOne +10%Giant Pandas · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Cache
2. BanGiant Pandas remove Anubis
3. PickGenOne take Dust2
4. PickGiant Pandas take Inferno
5. BanGiant Pandas remove Ancient
6. BanGenOne remove Default
DeciderNuke (41% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
GenOne 65%Giant Pandas 35%
The model gave 65% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
GenOne 63%Giant Pandas 37%
The model gave 63% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 80%
Series resultGenOne 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2