CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:0series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HAVU#107 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
60%29%
GenOne · 6 mapsedge GenOne +31%HAVU · 3 maps
NukeHAVU pick
50%43%
GenOne · 4 mapsedge GenOne +7%HAVU · 3 maps
AncientHAVU ban
56%50%
GenOne · 5 mapsedge GenOne +6%HAVU · 0 maps
InfernoHAVU ban
67%50%
GenOne · 2 mapsedge GenOne +17%HAVU · 0 maps
DefaultGenOne ban
40%50%
GenOne · 1 mapedge HAVU +10%HAVU · 0 maps
MirageGenOne ban
50%40%
GenOne · 0 mapsedge GenOne +10%HAVU · 1 map
Overpasspossible decider
40%50%
GenOne · 1 mapedge HAVU +10%HAVU · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Mirage
2. BanHAVU remove Inferno
3. PickGenOne take Dust2
4. PickHAVU take Nuke
5. BanHAVU remove Ancient
6. BanGenOne remove Default
DeciderOverpass (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
GenOne 81%HAVU 19%
The model gave 81% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Overpassprediction missed13:8
GenOne 37%HAVU 63%
The model gave 63% on HAVU — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteHAVU · 59%
Series resultGenOne 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2