LeonBet Masters Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#95 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:2
INFINITE#71 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
62%33%
GenOne · 35 mapsedge GenOne +29%INFINITE · 11 maps
Ancientpossible decider
60%36%
GenOne · 21 mapedge GenOne +24%INFINITE · 7 maps
InfernoGenOne ban
57%40%
GenOne · 17 mapsedge GenOne +17%INFINITE · 6 maps
NukeINFINITE ban
44%33%
GenOne · 14 mapsedge GenOne +11%INFINITE · 5 maps
MirageGenOne ban
50%56%
GenOne · 0 mapsedge INFINITE +6%INFINITE · 14 maps
AnubisINFINITE ban
86%40%
GenOne · 10 mapsedge GenOne +46%INFINITE · 1 map
CacheINFINITE pick
36%50%
GenOne · 7 mapsedge INFINITE +14%INFINITE · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Mirage
2. BanINFINITE remove Anubis
3. PickGenOne take Dust2
4. PickINFINITE take Cache
5. BanINFINITE remove Nuke
6. BanGenOne remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (60% / 36%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
GenOne 78%INFINITE 22%
The model gave 78% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Ancientprediction missed10:13
GenOne 70%INFINITE 30%
The model gave 70% on GenOne — the map was taken by INFINITE.
Nukeprediction missed8:13
GenOne 62%INFINITE 38%
The model gave 62% on GenOne — the map was taken by INFINITE.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 62%
Series resultINFINITE 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3