Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2lafox ban
73%50%
GenOne · 47 mapsedge GenOne +23%lafox · 0 maps
AncientGenOne ban
50%50%
GenOne · 28 mapsnearly even +0%lafox · 0 maps
NukeGenOne pick
60%50%
GenOne · 26 mapsedge GenOne +10%lafox · 0 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%50%
GenOne · 16 mapsnearly even +0%lafox · 0 maps
Anubislafox ban
65%50%
GenOne · 13 mapsedge GenOne +15%lafox · 0 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
38%50%
GenOne · 12 mapsedge lafox +12%lafox · 0 maps
Cachelafox pick
50%50%
GenOne · 4 mapsnearly even +0%lafox · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Overpass
2. Banlafox remove Dust2
3. PickGenOne take Nuke
4. Picklafox take Cache
5. Banlafox remove Anubis
6. BanGenOne remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:1
GenOne 75%lafox 25%
The model gave 75% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Anubisprediction correct13:3
GenOne 62%lafox 38%
The model gave 62% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 77%
Series resultGenOne 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2