CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gentle Mates#38 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukeex-RUBY pick
40%72%
Gentle Mates · 11 mapsedge ex-RUBY +32%ex-RUBY · 21 map
Dust2Gentle Mates ban
50%62%
Gentle Mates · 0 mapsedge ex-RUBY +12%ex-RUBY · 25 maps
AncientGentle Mates pick
69%44%
Gentle Mates · 9 mapsedge Gentle Mates +25%ex-RUBY · 14 maps
Miragepossible decider
58%47%
Gentle Mates · 8 mapsedge Gentle Mates +11%ex-RUBY · 15 maps
OverpassGentle Mates ban
57%63%
Gentle Mates · 3 mapsedge ex-RUBY +6%ex-RUBY · 12 maps
Infernoex-RUBY ban
60%50%
Gentle Mates · 11 mapsedge Gentle Mates +10%ex-RUBY · 0 maps
Anubisex-RUBY ban
50%60%
Gentle Mates · 4 mapsedge ex-RUBY +10%ex-RUBY · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGentle Mates remove Dust2
2. Banex-RUBY remove Inferno
3. PickGentle Mates take Ancient
4. Pickex-RUBY take Nuke
5. Banex-RUBY remove Anubis
6. BanGentle Mates remove Overpass
DeciderMirage (58% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct25:21
Gentle Mates 76%ex-RUBY 24%
The model gave 76% on Gentle Mates — the map was taken by Gentle Mates.
Mirageprediction missed8:13
Gentle Mates 58%ex-RUBY 42%
The model gave 58% on Gentle Mates — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Nukeprediction correct6:13
Gentle Mates 21%ex-RUBY 79%
The model gave 79% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Model check result
Model favoriteGentle Mates · 68%
Series resultex-RUBY 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3