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ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Glitch#218 in the world · loss 1:13
series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 1:13
Voca#67 in the world · win 13:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
50%65%
Glitch · 0 mapsedge Voca +15%Voca · 13 maps
Dust2Glitch ban
40%85%
Glitch · 1 mapedge Voca +45%Voca · 9 maps
CacheVoca ban
50%33%
Glitch · 0 mapsedge Glitch +17%Voca · 8 maps
MirageGlitch ban
50%80%
Glitch · 0 mapsedge Voca +30%Voca · 6 maps
NukeGlitch ban
50%40%
Glitch · 0 mapsedge Glitch +10%Voca · 6 maps
AnubisVoca ban
50%50%
Glitch · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Voca · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGlitch remove Mirage
2. BanVoca remove Cache
3. BanGlitch remove Dust2
4. BanVoca remove Anubis
5. BanGlitch remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (50% / 65%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct1:13
Glitch 35%Voca 65%
The model gave 65% on Voca — the map was taken by Voca.
Model check result
Model favoriteVoca · 75%
Series resultVoca 1:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1