CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLFO 10 pick
43%50%
Gothic · 3 mapsedge LFO 10 +7%LFO 10 · 4 maps
AnubisGothic pick
50%50%
Gothic · 6 mapsnearly even +0%LFO 10 · 0 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%50%
Gothic · 4 mapsnearly even +0%LFO 10 · 0 maps
Dust2LFO 10 ban
50%33%
Gothic · 2 mapsedge Gothic +17%LFO 10 · 2 maps
DefaultGothic ban
29%50%
Gothic · 3 mapsedge LFO 10 +21%LFO 10 · 0 maps
CacheGothic ban
50%50%
Gothic · 0 mapsnearly even +0%LFO 10 · 2 maps
InfernoLFO 10 ban
60%40%
Gothic · 1 mapedge Gothic +20%LFO 10 · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGothic remove Cache
2. BanLFO 10 remove Dust2
3. PickGothic take Anubis
4. PickLFO 10 take Mirage
5. BanLFO 10 remove Inferno
6. BanGothic remove Default
DeciderAncient (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Gothic 29%LFO 10 71%
The model gave 71% on LFO 10 — the map was taken by LFO 10.
Model check result
Model favoriteLFO 10 · 53%
Series resultLFO 10 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1