CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Grêmio#201 in the world · win 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2your end ban
43%29%
Grêmio · 10 mapsedge Grêmio +14%your end · 3 maps
InfernoGrêmio pick
57%67%
Grêmio · 10 mapsedge your end +10%your end · 2 maps
Ancientyour end pick
38%57%
Grêmio · 4 mapsedge your end +19%your end · 3 maps
MirageGrêmio ban
30%40%
Grêmio · 6 mapsedge your end +10%your end · 1 map
NukeGrêmio ban
44%40%
Grêmio · 5 mapsnearly even +4%your end · 1 map
Cacheyour end ban
33%50%
Grêmio · 5 mapsedge your end +17%your end · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
67%40%
Grêmio · 2 mapsedge Grêmio +27%your end · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGrêmio remove Mirage
2. Banyour end remove Cache
3. PickGrêmio take Inferno
4. Pickyour end take Ancient
5. Banyour end remove Dust2
6. BanGrêmio remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (67% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:7
Grêmio 36%your end 64%
The model gave 64% on your end — the map was taken by Grêmio.
Ancientprediction missed13:1
Grêmio 29%your end 71%
The model gave 71% on your end — the map was taken by Grêmio.
Model check result
Model favoriteyour end · 52%
Series resultGrêmio 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2