ANZC Locals Brisbane 2026 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ground Zero#139 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 0:2
FlyQuest#67 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Ground Zero pick
45%79%
Ground Zero · 16 mapsedge FlyQuest +34%FlyQuest · 10 maps
InfernoGround Zero ban
67%77%
Ground Zero · 11 mapsedge FlyQuest +10%FlyQuest · 9 maps
AnubisFlyQuest pick
50%69%
Ground Zero · 10 mapsedge FlyQuest +19%FlyQuest · 9 maps
NukeFlyQuest ban
80%75%
Ground Zero · 11 mapsedge Ground Zero +5%FlyQuest · 4 maps
AncientFlyQuest ban
56%57%
Ground Zero · 5 mapsnearly even -1%FlyQuest · 3 maps
CacheGround Zero ban
50%75%
Ground Zero · 0 mapsedge FlyQuest +25%FlyQuest · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%50%
Ground Zero · 1 mapedge Ground Zero +10%FlyQuest · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGround Zero remove Cache
2. BanFlyQuest remove Nuke
3. PickGround Zero take Dust2
4. PickFlyQuest take Anubis
5. BanFlyQuest remove Ancient
6. BanGround Zero remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct10:13
Ground Zero 33%FlyQuest 67%
The model gave 67% on FlyQuest — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Infernoprediction correct10:13
Ground Zero 35%FlyQuest 65%
The model gave 65% on FlyQuest — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Model check result
Model favoriteFlyQuest · 77%
Series resultFlyQuest 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2