CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bebop pick
63%71%
Hashiras · 4 mapsedge Bebop +8%Bebop · 3 maps
DefaultHashiras pick
50%33%
Hashiras · 0 mapsedge Hashiras +17%Bebop · 5 maps
Nukepossible decider
38%40%
Hashiras · 4 mapsnearly even -2%Bebop · 1 map
InfernoBebop ban
33%50%
Hashiras · 2 mapsedge Bebop +17%Bebop · 2 maps
MirageHashiras ban
50%63%
Hashiras · 0 mapsedge Bebop +13%Bebop · 4 maps
AncientBebop ban
40%33%
Hashiras · 1 mapedge Hashiras +7%Bebop · 2 maps
AnubisHashiras ban
50%60%
Hashiras · 2 mapsedge Bebop +10%Bebop · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHashiras remove Mirage
2. BanBebop remove Ancient
3. PickHashiras take Default
4. PickBebop take Dust2
5. BanBebop remove Inferno
6. BanHashiras remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (38% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:8
Hashiras 50%Bebop 50%
The model gave 50% on Hashiras — the map was taken by Hashiras.
Anubisprediction missed13:11
Hashiras 37%Bebop 63%
The model gave 63% on Bebop — the map was taken by Hashiras.
Model check result
Model favoriteBebop · 59%
Series resultHashiras 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2