CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bushido Wildcats pick
67%57%
Hashiras · 5 mapsedge Hashiras +10%Bushido Wildcats · 3 maps
NukeHashiras pick
45%50%
Hashiras · 7 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +5%Bushido Wildcats · 0 maps
AnubisBushido Wildcats ban
57%50%
Hashiras · 3 mapsedge Hashiras +7%Bushido Wildcats · 0 maps
Infernopossible decider
33%50%
Hashiras · 2 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +17%Bushido Wildcats · 0 maps
MirageHashiras ban
50%50%
Hashiras · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Bushido Wildcats · 2 maps
OverpassHashiras ban
40%60%
Hashiras · 1 mapedge Bushido Wildcats +20%Bushido Wildcats · 1 map
AncientBushido Wildcats ban
40%50%
Hashiras · 1 mapedge Bushido Wildcats +10%Bushido Wildcats · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHashiras remove Mirage
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Ancient
3. PickHashiras take Nuke
4. PickBushido Wildcats take Dust2
5. BanBushido Wildcats remove Anubis
6. BanHashiras remove Overpass
DeciderInferno (33% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed23:25
Hashiras 57%Bushido Wildcats 43%
The model gave 57% on Hashiras — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Nukeprediction missed13:11
Hashiras 48%Bushido Wildcats 52%
The model gave 52% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Hashiras.
Overpassprediction correct7:13
Hashiras 31%Bushido Wildcats 69%
The model gave 69% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Model check result
Model favoriteHashiras · 56%
Series resultBushido Wildcats 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3