CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:2
NEW VISION#204 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeHashiras pick
50%40%
Hashiras · 8 mapsedge Hashiras +10%NEW VISION · 1 map
Dust2NEW VISION ban
60%40%
Hashiras · 6 mapsedge Hashiras +20%NEW VISION · 1 map
AncientHashiras ban
40%57%
Hashiras · 1 mapedge NEW VISION +17%NEW VISION · 3 maps
AnubisNEW VISION pick
57%60%
Hashiras · 3 mapsnearly even -3%NEW VISION · 1 map
InfernoHashiras ban
33%60%
Hashiras · 2 mapsedge NEW VISION +27%NEW VISION · 1 map
OverpassNEW VISION ban
33%50%
Hashiras · 2 mapsedge NEW VISION +17%NEW VISION · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%50%
Hashiras · 1 mapedge Hashiras +10%NEW VISION · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHashiras remove Ancient
2. BanNEW VISION remove Overpass
3. PickHashiras take Nuke
4. PickNEW VISION take Anubis
5. BanNEW VISION remove Dust2
6. BanHashiras remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed19:17
Hashiras 44%NEW VISION 56%
The model gave 56% on NEW VISION — the map was taken by Hashiras.
Dust2prediction missed8:13
Hashiras 72%NEW VISION 28%
The model gave 72% on Hashiras — the map was taken by NEW VISION.
Nukeprediction missed11:13
Hashiras 60%NEW VISION 40%
The model gave 60% on Hashiras — the map was taken by NEW VISION.
Model check result
Model favoriteNEW VISION · 52%
Series resultNEW VISION 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3