CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
HAVU#108 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Illyrians#126 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageHAVU pick
57%54%
HAVU · 17 mapsnearly even +3%Illyrians · 22 maps
Dust2Illyrians pick
31%42%
HAVU · 12 mapsedge Illyrians +11%Illyrians · 20 maps
NukeIllyrians ban
76%40%
HAVU · 21 mapedge HAVU +36%Illyrians · 1 map
Ancientpossible decider
33%47%
HAVU · 8 mapsedge Illyrians +14%Illyrians · 13 maps
CacheHAVU ban
42%71%
HAVU · 8 mapsedge Illyrians +29%Illyrians · 13 maps
InfernoIllyrians ban
36%50%
HAVU · 7 mapsedge Illyrians +14%Illyrians · 2 maps
AnubisHAVU ban
40%70%
HAVU · 1 mapedge Illyrians +30%Illyrians · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHAVU remove Anubis
2. BanIllyrians remove Nuke
3. PickHAVU take Mirage
4. PickIllyrians take Dust2
5. BanIllyrians remove Inferno
6. BanHAVU remove Cache
DeciderAncient (33% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed9:13
HAVU 56%Illyrians 44%
The model gave 56% on HAVU — the map was taken by Illyrians.
Dust2prediction correct10:13
HAVU 36%Illyrians 64%
The model gave 64% on Illyrians — the map was taken by Illyrians.
Model check result
Model favoriteHAVU · 53%
Series resultIllyrians 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2