CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
HEROIC Academy#100 in the world · win 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NEW VISION#204 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNEW VISION pick
45%40%
HEROIC Academy · 7 mapsedge HEROIC Academy +5%NEW VISION · 6 maps
Anubispossible decider
42%44%
HEROIC Academy · 8 mapsnearly even -2%NEW VISION · 5 maps
MirageHEROIC Academy pick
53%40%
HEROIC Academy · 11 mapsedge HEROIC Academy +13%NEW VISION · 1 map
Dust2HEROIC Academy ban
20%56%
HEROIC Academy · 6 mapsedge NEW VISION +36%NEW VISION · 5 maps
InfernoNEW VISION ban
38%50%
HEROIC Academy · 4 mapsedge NEW VISION +12%NEW VISION · 4 maps
NukeHEROIC Academy ban
29%57%
HEROIC Academy · 3 mapsedge NEW VISION +28%NEW VISION · 3 maps
OverpassNEW VISION ban
43%50%
HEROIC Academy · 3 mapsedge NEW VISION +7%NEW VISION · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHEROIC Academy remove Nuke
2. BanNEW VISION remove Overpass
3. PickHEROIC Academy take Mirage
4. PickNEW VISION take Ancient
5. BanNEW VISION remove Inferno
6. BanHEROIC Academy remove Dust2
DeciderAnubis (42% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed22:20
HEROIC Academy 44%NEW VISION 56%
The model gave 56% on NEW VISION — the map was taken by HEROIC Academy.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
HEROIC Academy 66%NEW VISION 34%
The model gave 66% on HEROIC Academy — the map was taken by HEROIC Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteHEROIC Academy · 52%
Series resultHEROIC Academy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2