Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
live · recalculated in real time
HEROIC#25 in the worldseries probability now
61%39%
was 55% pre-match
1win#38 in the worldIn live mode the model factors in the current map and round score, team winrate on the maps being played and form. The probability is recalculated as the match unfolds.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust21win pick
69%59%
HEROIC · 12 mapsedge HEROIC +10%1win · 28 maps
Ancientpossible decider
63%59%
HEROIC · 12 mapsnearly even +4%1win · 18 maps
Mirage1win ban
67%58%
HEROIC · 8 mapsedge HEROIC +9%1win · 15 maps
CacheHEROIC ban
50%57%
HEROIC · 8 mapsedge 1win +7%1win · 10 maps
InfernoHEROIC pick
67%67%
HEROIC · 11 mapsnearly even +0%1win · 5 maps
AnubisHEROIC ban
50%33%
HEROIC · 0 mapsedge HEROIC +17%1win · 14 maps
Nuke1win ban
62%50%
HEROIC · 9 mapsedge HEROIC +12%1win · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHEROIC remove Anubis
2. Ban1win remove Nuke
3. PickHEROIC take Inferno
4. Pick1win take Dust2
5. Ban1win remove Mirage
6. BanHEROIC remove Cache
DeciderAncient (63% / 59%)
Probability by map
For each map in the series — win chance factoring in the round score and historical map winrate over 3 months. Played maps are locked, the current one is recalculated by the score.
Ancientnot played · HEROIC pick— : —
HEROIC 57%1win 43%
Historical winrate over 3 months: HEROIC 63% (12 maps) vs 59% (18 maps) for 1win.
Dust2not played · 1win pick— : —
HEROIC 57%1win 43%
Historical winrate over 3 months: HEROIC 69% (12 maps) vs 59% (28 maps) for 1win.
Miragenot played · decider— : —
HEROIC 59%1win 41%
Historical winrate over 3 months: HEROIC 67% (8 maps) vs 58% (15 maps) for 1win.