PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
HEROIC#25 in the world · win 2:0series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DDrama#143 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientDrama pick
64%67%
HEROIC · 10 mapsnearly even -3%Drama · 2 maps
Dust2HEROIC pick
64%50%
HEROIC · 10 mapsedge HEROIC +14%Drama · 0 maps
InfernoDrama ban
71%50%
HEROIC · 10 mapsedge HEROIC +21%Drama · 0 maps
Nukepossible decider
58%50%
HEROIC · 8 mapsedge HEROIC +8%Drama · 0 maps
MirageHEROIC ban
70%60%
HEROIC · 6 mapsedge HEROIC +10%Drama · 1 map
CacheHEROIC ban
40%50%
HEROIC · 6 mapsedge Drama +10%Drama · 0 maps
DefaultDrama ban
60%50%
HEROIC · 1 mapedge HEROIC +10%Drama · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHEROIC remove Cache
2. BanDrama remove Inferno
3. PickHEROIC take Dust2
4. PickDrama take Ancient
5. BanDrama remove Default
6. BanHEROIC remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (58% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:5
HEROIC 67%Drama 33%
The model gave 67% on HEROIC — the map was taken by HEROIC.
Mirageprediction correct13:9
HEROIC 58%Drama 42%
The model gave 58% on HEROIC — the map was taken by HEROIC.
Model check result
Model favoriteHEROIC · 88%
Series resultHEROIC 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2