Stake Pulse Beat II · BO3
pre-match prediction
HEROIC#25 in the worldseries probability
64%36%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Johnny Speeds#57 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientHEROIC ban
65%50%
HEROIC · 13 mapsedge HEROIC +15%Johnny Speeds · 4 maps
Dust2Johnny Speeds pick
65%50%
HEROIC · 13 mapsedge HEROIC +15%Johnny Speeds · 4 maps
InfernoHEROIC pick
67%70%
HEROIC · 11 mapsnearly even -3%Johnny Speeds · 6 maps
MirageJohnny Speeds ban
69%33%
HEROIC · 9 mapsedge HEROIC +36%Johnny Speeds · 2 maps
Nukepossible decider
62%50%
HEROIC · 9 mapsedge HEROIC +12%Johnny Speeds · 2 maps
CacheJohnny Speeds ban
50%50%
HEROIC · 8 mapsnearly even +0%Johnny Speeds · 0 maps
AnubisHEROIC ban
50%57%
HEROIC · 0 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +7%Johnny Speeds · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHEROIC remove Anubis
2. BanJohnny Speeds remove Mirage
3. PickHEROIC take Inferno
4. PickJohnny Speeds take Dust2
5. BanJohnny Speeds remove Cache
6. BanHEROIC remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (62% / 50%)