CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Honvéd#144 in the world · win 2:1series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Entropy#159 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageHonvéd pick
48%46%
Honvéd · 21 mapnearly even +2%Entropy · 24 maps
Dust2Entropy ban
55%27%
Honvéd · 25 mapsedge Honvéd +28%Entropy · 11 maps
AncientEntropy ban
53%50%
Honvéd · 11 mapsnearly even +3%Entropy · 16 maps
AnubisEntropy pick
50%53%
Honvéd · 4 mapsnearly even -3%Entropy · 11 maps
CacheHonvéd ban
50%53%
Honvéd · 2 mapsnearly even -3%Entropy · 13 maps
InfernoHonvéd ban
30%50%
Honvéd · 6 mapsedge Entropy +20%Entropy · 6 maps
Defaultpossible decider
67%50%
Honvéd · 5 mapsedge Honvéd +17%Entropy · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHonvéd remove Cache
2. BanEntropy remove Dust2
3. PickHonvéd take Mirage
4. PickEntropy take Anubis
5. BanEntropy remove Ancient
6. BanHonvéd remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:5
Honvéd 49%Entropy 51%
The model gave 51% on Entropy — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Ancientprediction missed8:13
Honvéd 56%Entropy 44%
The model gave 56% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Entropy.
Infernoprediction missed13:4
Honvéd 30%Entropy 70%
The model gave 70% on Entropy — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntropy · 63%
Series resultHonvéd 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3