CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Honvéd#144 in the world · win 2:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Honvéd pick
67%36%
Honvéd · 14 mapsedge Honvéd +31%Julie&Cie · 7 maps
MirageJulie&Cie ban
53%25%
Honvéd · 15 mapsedge Honvéd +28%Julie&Cie · 4 maps
AncientJulie&Cie ban
58%30%
Honvéd · 8 mapsedge Honvéd +28%Julie&Cie · 6 maps
AnubisJulie&Cie pick
67%60%
Honvéd · 2 mapsedge Honvéd +7%Julie&Cie · 6 maps
InfernoHonvéd ban
29%44%
Honvéd · 3 mapsedge Julie&Cie +15%Julie&Cie · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%57%
Honvéd · 2 mapsedge Julie&Cie +7%Julie&Cie · 3 maps
NukeHonvéd ban
57%67%
Honvéd · 3 mapsedge Julie&Cie +10%Julie&Cie · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHonvéd remove Nuke
2. BanJulie&Cie remove Mirage
3. PickHonvéd take Dust2
4. PickJulie&Cie take Anubis
5. BanJulie&Cie remove Ancient
6. BanHonvéd remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (50% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
Honvéd 43%Julie&Cie 57%
The model gave 57% on Julie&Cie — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
Honvéd 80%Julie&Cie 20%
The model gave 80% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Model check result
Model favoriteHonvéd · 75%
Series resultHonvéd 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2