CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Honvéd#144 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
mellren#94 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Honvéd pick
57%43%
Honvéd · 26 mapsedge Honvéd +14%mellren · 3 maps
Miragemellren pick
44%71%
Honvéd · 23 mapsedge mellren +27%mellren · 3 maps
Ancientpossible decider
53%50%
Honvéd · 11 mapsnearly even +3%mellren · 4 maps
InfernoHonvéd ban
33%57%
Honvéd · 5 mapsedge mellren +24%mellren · 3 maps
AnubisHonvéd ban
56%50%
Honvéd · 5 mapsedge Honvéd +6%mellren · 0 maps
Defaultmellren ban
67%50%
Honvéd · 5 mapsedge Honvéd +17%mellren · 0 maps
Nukemellren ban
56%50%
Honvéd · 5 mapsedge Honvéd +6%mellren · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHonvéd remove Inferno
2. Banmellren remove Nuke
3. PickHonvéd take Dust2
4. Pickmellren take Mirage
5. Banmellren remove Default
6. BanHonvéd remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (53% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct11:13
Honvéd 25%mellren 75%
The model gave 75% on mellren — the map was taken by mellren.
Dust2prediction missed11:13
Honvéd 66%mellren 34%
The model gave 66% on Honvéd — the map was taken by mellren.
Model check result
Model favoriteHonvéd · 55%
Series resultmellren 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2