CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Honvéd#144 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Noir Verse#124 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Honvéd pick
54%43%
Honvéd · 31 mapedge Honvéd +11%Noir Verse · 10 maps
MirageNoir Verse pick
48%64%
Honvéd · 25 mapsedge Noir Verse +16%Noir Verse · 10 maps
AncientNoir Verse ban
47%46%
Honvéd · 13 mapsnearly even +1%Noir Verse · 9 maps
CacheHonvéd ban
38%55%
Honvéd · 9 mapsedge Noir Verse +17%Noir Verse · 7 maps
NukeNoir Verse ban
56%50%
Honvéd · 5 mapsedge Honvéd +6%Noir Verse · 10 maps
AnubisHonvéd ban
44%38%
Honvéd · 5 mapsedge Honvéd +6%Noir Verse · 9 maps
Defaultpossible decider
75%44%
Honvéd · 8 mapsedge Honvéd +31%Noir Verse · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHonvéd remove Cache
2. BanNoir Verse remove Nuke
3. PickHonvéd take Dust2
4. PickNoir Verse take Mirage
5. BanNoir Verse remove Ancient
6. BanHonvéd remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (75% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct11:13
Honvéd 32%Noir Verse 68%
The model gave 68% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
Honvéd 64%Noir Verse 36%
The model gave 64% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Model check result
Model favoriteHonvéd · 62%
Series resultNoir Verse 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2