CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Honvéd#144 in the world · win 2:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Privateer#226 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Honvéd pick
65%43%
Honvéd · 19 mapsedge Honvéd +22%Privateer · 3 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%50%
Honvéd · 18 mapsnearly even +0%Privateer · 2 maps
AncientHonvéd ban
57%50%
Honvéd · 10 mapsedge Honvéd +7%Privateer · 4 maps
NukePrivateer pick
57%50%
Honvéd · 3 mapsedge Honvéd +7%Privateer · 6 maps
InfernoHonvéd ban
29%67%
Honvéd · 3 mapsedge Privateer +38%Privateer · 2 maps
AnubisPrivateer ban
71%50%
Honvéd · 3 mapsedge Honvéd +21%Privateer · 0 maps
DefaultPrivateer ban
57%50%
Honvéd · 3 mapsedge Honvéd +7%Privateer · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHonvéd remove Inferno
2. BanPrivateer remove Anubis
3. PickHonvéd take Dust2
4. PickPrivateer take Nuke
5. BanPrivateer remove Default
6. BanHonvéd remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct16:13
Honvéd 74%Privateer 26%
The model gave 74% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
Honvéd 54%Privateer 46%
The model gave 54% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Model check result
Model favoriteHonvéd · 56%
Series resultHonvéd 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2