GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
HOTU#41 in the world · win 2:1series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2HOTU pick
71%69%
HOTU · 17 mapsnearly even +2%Color · 9 maps
CacheColor ban
59%50%
HOTU · 13 mapsedge HOTU +9%Color · 4 maps
AncientHOTU ban
58%70%
HOTU · 8 mapsedge Color +12%Color · 6 maps
MirageColor pick
55%64%
HOTU · 7 mapsedge Color +9%Color · 7 maps
Anubispossible decider
69%63%
HOTU · 9 mapsedge HOTU +6%Color · 4 maps
NukeColor ban
64%50%
HOTU · 7 mapsedge HOTU +14%Color · 0 maps
InfernoHOTU ban
50%57%
HOTU · 0 mapsedge Color +7%Color · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHOTU remove Inferno
2. BanColor remove Nuke
3. PickHOTU take Dust2
4. PickColor take Mirage
5. BanColor remove Cache
6. BanHOTU remove Ancient
DeciderAnubis (69% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct10:13
HOTU 50%Color 50%
The model gave 50% on Color — the map was taken by Color.
Cacheprediction correct13:7
HOTU 62%Color 38%
The model gave 62% on HOTU — the map was taken by HOTU.
Anubisprediction correct25:22
HOTU 57%Color 43%
The model gave 57% on HOTU — the map was taken by HOTU.
Model check result
Model favoriteHOTU · 69%
Series resultHOTU 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3