CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
HYPERSPIRIT#135 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:2
MANA#86 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMANA pick
29%57%
HYPERSPIRIT · 3 mapsedge MANA +28%MANA · 3 maps
AnubisHYPERSPIRIT ban
40%50%
HYPERSPIRIT · 1 mapedge MANA +10%MANA · 2 maps
OverpassMANA ban
40%40%
HYPERSPIRIT · 1 mapnearly even +0%MANA · 1 map
AncientMANA ban
50%40%
HYPERSPIRIT · 0 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +10%MANA · 1 map
DefaultHYPERSPIRIT pick
60%50%
HYPERSPIRIT · 1 mapedge HYPERSPIRIT +10%MANA · 0 maps
NukeHYPERSPIRIT ban
40%50%
HYPERSPIRIT · 1 mapedge MANA +10%MANA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Nuke
2. BanMANA remove Ancient
3. PickHYPERSPIRIT take Default
4. PickMANA take Mirage
5. BanMANA remove Overpass
6. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:9
HYPERSPIRIT 21%MANA 79%
The model gave 79% on MANA — the map was taken by HYPERSPIRIT.
Anubisprediction correct12:16
HYPERSPIRIT 43%MANA 57%
The model gave 57% on MANA — the map was taken by MANA.
Dust2prediction missed9:13
HYPERSPIRIT 50%MANA 50%
The model gave 50% on HYPERSPIRIT — the map was taken by MANA.
Model check result
Model favoriteMANA · 58%
Series resultMANA 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3