Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Iberian Soul#57 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 1:2
6666#80 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoIberian Soul pick
50%22%
Iberian Soul · 0 mapsedge Iberian Soul +28%6666 · 5 maps
Ancient6666 pick
50%38%
Iberian Soul · 0 mapsedge Iberian Soul +12%6666 · 4 maps
Nuke6666 ban
50%33%
Iberian Soul · 0 mapsedge Iberian Soul +17%6666 · 2 maps
Anubis6666 ban
50%40%
Iberian Soul · 0 mapsedge Iberian Soul +10%6666 · 1 map
MirageIberian Soul ban
50%60%
Iberian Soul · 0 mapsedge 6666 +10%6666 · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIberian Soul remove Mirage
2. Ban6666 remove Anubis
3. PickIberian Soul take Inferno
4. Pick6666 take Ancient
5. Ban6666 remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed10:13
Iberian Soul 60%6666 40%
The model gave 60% on Iberian Soul — the map was taken by 6666.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
Iberian Soul 80%6666 20%
The model gave 80% on Iberian Soul — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Mirageprediction correct8:13
Iberian Soul 40%6666 60%
The model gave 60% on 6666 — the map was taken by 6666.
Model check result
Model favoriteIberian Soul · 84%
Series result6666 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3