Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Iberian Soul#57 in the world · win 2:1series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:1
6666#80 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Inferno6666 ban
67%20%
Iberian Soul · 2 mapsedge Iberian Soul +47%6666 · 6 maps
Ancient6666 pick
50%44%
Iberian Soul · 2 mapsedge Iberian Soul +6%6666 · 5 maps
MirageIberian Soul ban
40%67%
Iberian Soul · 1 mapedge 6666 +27%6666 · 2 maps
AnubisIberian Soul ban
50%33%
Iberian Soul · 0 mapsedge Iberian Soul +17%6666 · 2 maps
NukeIberian Soul pick
50%33%
Iberian Soul · 0 mapsedge Iberian Soul +17%6666 · 2 maps
Dust26666 ban
50%40%
Iberian Soul · 0 mapsedge Iberian Soul +10%6666 · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIberian Soul remove Mirage
2. Ban6666 remove Inferno
3. PickIberian Soul take Nuke
4. Pick6666 take Ancient
5. Ban6666 remove Dust2
6. BanIberian Soul remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed11:13
Iberian Soul 53%6666 47%
The model gave 53% on Iberian Soul — the map was taken by 6666.
Infernoprediction correct13:6
Iberian Soul 90%6666 10%
The model gave 90% on Iberian Soul — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Mirageprediction missed13:9
Iberian Soul 25%6666 75%
The model gave 75% on 6666 — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Model check result
Model favoriteIberian Soul · 78%
Series resultIberian Soul 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3