CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Iberian Soul#57 in the world · win 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Iberian Soul ban
50%54%
Iberian Soul · 0 mapsnearly even -4%ex-RUSTEC · 44 maps
Nukepossible decider
67%53%
Iberian Soul · 5 mapsedge Iberian Soul +14%ex-RUSTEC · 30 maps
Anubisex-RUSTEC pick
57%64%
Iberian Soul · 3 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +7%ex-RUSTEC · 24 maps
Mirageex-RUSTEC ban
45%50%
Iberian Soul · 7 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +5%ex-RUSTEC · 20 maps
InfernoIberian Soul pick
62%50%
Iberian Soul · 9 mapsedge Iberian Soul +12%ex-RUSTEC · 16 maps
CacheIberian Soul ban
27%47%
Iberian Soul · 7 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +20%ex-RUSTEC · 13 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
50%67%
Iberian Soul · 12 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +17%ex-RUSTEC · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIberian Soul remove Dust2
2. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
3. PickIberian Soul take Inferno
4. Pickex-RUSTEC take Anubis
5. Banex-RUSTEC remove Mirage
6. BanIberian Soul remove Cache
DeciderNuke (67% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:7
Iberian Soul 67%ex-RUSTEC 33%
The model gave 67% on Iberian Soul — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Mirageprediction missed19:17
Iberian Soul 42%ex-RUSTEC 58%
The model gave 58% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUSTEC · 52%
Series resultIberian Soul 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2