CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Iberian Soul#57 in the world · win 2:1series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Nemiga#22 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNemiga ban
53%60%
Iberian Soul · 13 mapsedge Nemiga +7%Nemiga · 26 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%73%
Iberian Soul · 8 mapsedge Nemiga +23%Nemiga · 18 maps
CacheNemiga pick
27%68%
Iberian Soul · 7 mapsedge Nemiga +41%Nemiga · 15 maps
NukeIberian Soul pick
73%63%
Iberian Soul · 7 mapsedge Iberian Soul +10%Nemiga · 15 maps
Dust2Iberian Soul ban
50%60%
Iberian Soul · 0 mapsedge Nemiga +10%Nemiga · 21 map
AnubisIberian Soul ban
57%75%
Iberian Soul · 3 mapsedge Nemiga +18%Nemiga · 16 maps
InfernoNemiga ban
62%60%
Iberian Soul · 9 mapsnearly even +2%Nemiga · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIberian Soul remove Dust2
2. BanNemiga remove Inferno
3. PickIberian Soul take Nuke
4. PickNemiga take Cache
5. BanNemiga remove Ancient
6. BanIberian Soul remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (50% / 73%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:7
Iberian Soul 13%Nemiga 87%
The model gave 87% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Nukeprediction missed13:16
Iberian Soul 64%Nemiga 36%
The model gave 64% on Iberian Soul — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Mirageprediction missed13:9
Iberian Soul 27%Nemiga 73%
The model gave 73% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 77%
Series resultIberian Soul 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3