HyperX Retake Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Iberian Soul#59 in the world · win 2:1series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:1
OG#124 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientOG pick
52%64%
Iberian Soul · 17 mapsedge OG +12%OG · 7 maps
Infernopossible decider
59%36%
Iberian Soul · 13 mapsedge Iberian Soul +23%OG · 10 maps
MirageIberian Soul ban
47%58%
Iberian Soul · 13 mapsedge OG +11%OG · 8 maps
NukeIberian Soul pick
73%50%
Iberian Soul · 11 mapsedge Iberian Soul +23%OG · 10 maps
CacheOG ban
38%40%
Iberian Soul · 9 mapsnearly even -2%OG · 6 maps
Dust2Iberian Soul ban
50%71%
Iberian Soul · 0 mapsedge OG +21%OG · 13 maps
AnubisOG ban
57%50%
Iberian Soul · 3 mapsedge Iberian Soul +7%OG · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIberian Soul remove Dust2
2. BanOG remove Anubis
3. PickIberian Soul take Nuke
4. PickOG take Ancient
5. BanOG remove Cache
6. BanIberian Soul remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (59% / 36%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed4:13
Iberian Soul 54%OG 46%
The model gave 54% on Iberian Soul — the map was taken by OG.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
Iberian Soul 76%OG 24%
The model gave 76% on Iberian Soul — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Infernoprediction correct13:2
Iberian Soul 72%OG 28%
The model gave 72% on Iberian Soul — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Model check result
Model favoriteIberian Soul · 65%
Series resultIberian Soul 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3