HyperX Retake Season 13 · BO1
result vs prediction
Iberian Soul#59 in the world · win 13:3series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 13:3
ZOTIX#179 in the world · loss 3:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
47%63%
Iberian Soul · 15 mapsedge ZOTIX +16%ZOTIX · 4 maps
InfernoZOTIX ban
63%57%
Iberian Soul · 12 mapsedge Iberian Soul +6%ZOTIX · 3 maps
MirageZOTIX ban
47%40%
Iberian Soul · 13 mapsedge Iberian Soul +7%ZOTIX · 1 map
NukeZOTIX ban
71%40%
Iberian Soul · 10 mapsedge Iberian Soul +31%ZOTIX · 1 map
CacheIberian Soul ban
38%40%
Iberian Soul · 9 mapsnearly even -2%ZOTIX · 1 map
AnubisIberian Soul ban
57%60%
Iberian Soul · 3 mapsnearly even -3%ZOTIX · 1 map
Dust2Iberian Soul ban
50%43%
Iberian Soul · 0 mapsedge Iberian Soul +7%ZOTIX · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIberian Soul remove Dust2
2. BanZOTIX remove Nuke
3. BanIberian Soul remove Cache
4. BanZOTIX remove Mirage
5. BanIberian Soul remove Anubis
6. BanZOTIX remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (47% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:3
Iberian Soul 35%ZOTIX 65%
The model gave 65% on ZOTIX — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Model check result
Model favoriteIberian Soul · 74%
Series resultIberian Soul 13:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1