BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial#51 in the world · win 2:1series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BESTIA#65 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BESTIA pick
55%73%
Imperial · 7 mapsedge BESTIA +18%BESTIA · 18 maps
InfernoBESTIA ban
65%40%
Imperial · 13 mapsedge Imperial +25%BESTIA · 6 maps
MirageImperial pick
61%67%
Imperial · 14 mapsedge BESTIA +6%BESTIA · 5 maps
Nukepossible decider
69%64%
Imperial · 12 mapsedge Imperial +5%BESTIA · 7 maps
CacheImperial ban
60%40%
Imperial · 6 mapsedge Imperial +20%BESTIA · 6 maps
AncientImperial ban
50%60%
Imperial · 0 mapsedge BESTIA +10%BESTIA · 6 maps
AnubisBESTIA ban
57%50%
Imperial · 3 mapsedge Imperial +7%BESTIA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Ancient
2. BanBESTIA remove Anubis
3. PickImperial take Mirage
4. PickBESTIA take Dust2
5. BanBESTIA remove Inferno
6. BanImperial remove Cache
DeciderNuke (69% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
Imperial 53%BESTIA 47%
The model gave 53% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Infernoprediction missed9:13
Imperial 76%BESTIA 24%
The model gave 76% on Imperial — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Mirageprediction missed13:4
Imperial 44%BESTIA 56%
The model gave 56% on BESTIA — the map was taken by Imperial.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 66%
Series resultImperial 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3