PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Open Qualifier 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial#61 in the world · win 2:0series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Bounty Hunters#109 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageImperial pick
70%50%
Imperial · 19 mapsedge Imperial +20%Bounty Hunters · 12 maps
Nukepossible decider
72%62%
Imperial · 14 mapsedge Imperial +10%Bounty Hunters · 9 maps
CacheBounty Hunters pick
62%57%
Imperial · 9 mapsedge Imperial +5%Bounty Hunters · 10 maps
InfernoBounty Hunters ban
68%50%
Imperial · 18 mapsedge Imperial +18%Bounty Hunters · 0 maps
Dust2Bounty Hunters ban
64%38%
Imperial · 10 mapsedge Imperial +26%Bounty Hunters · 4 maps
AnubisImperial ban
56%57%
Imperial · 5 mapsnearly even -1%Bounty Hunters · 3 maps
AncientImperial ban
50%27%
Imperial · 0 mapsedge Imperial +23%Bounty Hunters · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Ancient
2. BanBounty Hunters remove Inferno
3. PickImperial take Mirage
4. PickBounty Hunters take Cache
5. BanBounty Hunters remove Dust2
6. BanImperial remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (72% / 62%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:6
Imperial 52%Bounty Hunters 48%
The model gave 52% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
Imperial 77%Bounty Hunters 23%
The model gave 77% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 81%
Series resultImperial 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2