BetBoom RUSH B Summit Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial#51 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Fluxo#56 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
64%46%
Imperial · 10 mapsedge Imperial +18%Fluxo · 9 maps
InfernoImperial pick
73%38%
Imperial · 11 mapsedge Imperial +35%Fluxo · 4 maps
MirageFluxo pick
53%75%
Imperial · 11 mapsedge Fluxo +22%Fluxo · 4 maps
NukeImperial ban
67%55%
Imperial · 5 mapsedge Imperial +12%Fluxo · 7 maps
AnubisFluxo ban
60%44%
Imperial · 6 mapsedge Imperial +16%Fluxo · 5 maps
AncientImperial ban
50%29%
Imperial · 0 mapsedge Imperial +21%Fluxo · 3 maps
OverpassFluxo ban
50%50%
Imperial · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Fluxo · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Ancient
2. BanFluxo remove Overpass
3. PickImperial take Inferno
4. PickFluxo take Mirage
5. BanFluxo remove Anubis
6. BanImperial remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (64% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed15:19
Imperial 60%Fluxo 40%
The model gave 60% on Imperial — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Cacheprediction correct13:7
Imperial 53%Fluxo 47%
The model gave 53% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Dust2prediction missed6:13
Imperial 68%Fluxo 32%
The model gave 68% on Imperial — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 57%
Series resultFluxo 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3