PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial#50 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Fluxo#63 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeFluxo pick
65%62%
Imperial · 16 mapsnearly even +3%Fluxo · 25 maps
Miragepossible decider
72%72%
Imperial · 21 mapnearly even +0%Fluxo · 14 maps
InfernoImperial pick
69%50%
Imperial · 22 mapsedge Imperial +19%Fluxo · 10 maps
Dust2Imperial ban
56%50%
Imperial · 14 mapsedge Imperial +6%Fluxo · 14 maps
CacheFluxo ban
67%54%
Imperial · 11 mapsedge Imperial +13%Fluxo · 9 maps
AnubisFluxo ban
60%40%
Imperial · 6 mapsedge Imperial +20%Fluxo · 6 maps
DefaultImperial ban
50%60%
Imperial · 0 mapsedge Fluxo +10%Fluxo · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Default
2. BanFluxo remove Anubis
3. PickImperial take Inferno
4. PickFluxo take Nuke
5. BanFluxo remove Cache
6. BanImperial remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (72% / 72%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed11:13
Imperial 67%Fluxo 33%
The model gave 67% on Imperial — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Infernoprediction missed14:16
Imperial 72%Fluxo 28%
The model gave 72% on Imperial — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Model check result
Model favoriteFluxo · 70%
Series resultFluxo 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2