Esplay Elite Gaming Cup 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
INFINITE#56 in the world · win 13:11series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 13:11
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
67%40%
INFINITE · 2 mapsedge INFINITE +27%dJ uNT frIENDS · 1 map
AncientINFINITE ban
50%40%
INFINITE · 0 mapsedge INFINITE +10%dJ uNT frIENDS · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINFINITE remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (67% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:11
INFINITE 50%dJ uNT frIENDS 50%
The model gave 50% on INFINITE — the map was taken by INFINITE.
Model check result
Model favoriteINFINITE · 78%
Series resultINFINITE 13:11
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1