NODWIN Clutch Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
INFINITE#71 in the world · win 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2INFINITE ban
57%64%
INFINITE · 3 mapsedge ex-RUBY +7%ex-RUBY · 24 maps
Nukeex-RUBY pick
50%74%
INFINITE · 2 mapsedge ex-RUBY +24%ex-RUBY · 19 maps
MirageINFINITE pick
70%41%
INFINITE · 6 mapsedge INFINITE +29%ex-RUBY · 13 maps
Ancientpossible decider
57%44%
INFINITE · 3 mapsedge INFINITE +13%ex-RUBY · 12 maps
OverpassINFINITE ban
40%63%
INFINITE · 1 mapedge ex-RUBY +23%ex-RUBY · 12 maps
Anubisex-RUBY ban
60%60%
INFINITE · 1 mapnearly even +0%ex-RUBY · 1 map
Infernoex-RUBY ban
50%50%
INFINITE · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ex-RUBY · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINFINITE remove Overpass
2. Banex-RUBY remove Inferno
3. PickINFINITE take Mirage
4. Pickex-RUBY take Nuke
5. Banex-RUBY remove Anubis
6. BanINFINITE remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (57% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
INFINITE 24%ex-RUBY 76%
The model gave 76% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by INFINITE.
Ancientprediction correct13:11
INFINITE 66%ex-RUBY 34%
The model gave 66% on INFINITE — the map was taken by INFINITE.
Model check result
Model favoriteINFINITE · 52%
Series resultINFINITE 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2