FOX Legacy Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
INFINITE#71 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
UNiTY#102 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageINFINITE pick
53%50%
INFINITE · 15 mapsnearly even +3%UNiTY · 14 maps
Dust2possible decider
29%53%
INFINITE · 13 mapsedge UNiTY +24%UNiTY · 15 maps
AncientUNiTY pick
50%67%
INFINITE · 10 mapsedge UNiTY +17%UNiTY · 17 maps
InfernoINFINITE ban
40%58%
INFINITE · 6 mapsedge UNiTY +18%UNiTY · 15 maps
CacheUNiTY ban
56%50%
INFINITE · 5 mapsedge INFINITE +6%UNiTY · 10 maps
AnubisINFINITE ban
40%62%
INFINITE · 1 mapedge UNiTY +22%UNiTY · 9 maps
NukeUNiTY ban
45%29%
INFINITE · 7 mapsedge INFINITE +16%UNiTY · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINFINITE remove Anubis
2. BanUNiTY remove Nuke
3. PickINFINITE take Mirage
4. PickUNiTY take Ancient
5. BanUNiTY remove Cache
6. BanINFINITE remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (29% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct11:13
INFINITE 30%UNiTY 70%
The model gave 70% on UNiTY — the map was taken by UNiTY.
Mirageprediction missed7:13
INFINITE 56%UNiTY 44%
The model gave 56% on INFINITE — the map was taken by UNiTY.
Model check result
Model favoriteINFINITE · 57%
Series resultUNiTY 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2