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CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circle Academy#103 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Fire Flux#128 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
59%58%
Inner Circle Academy · 28 mapsnearly even +1%Fire Flux · 15 maps
AnubisInner Circle Academy pick
59%60%
Inner Circle Academy · 18 mapsnearly even -1%Fire Flux · 11 maps
AncientFire Flux ban
52%29%
Inner Circle Academy · 23 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +23%Fire Flux · 3 maps
MirageInner Circle Academy ban
50%36%
Inner Circle Academy · 12 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +14%Fire Flux · 10 maps
NukeFire Flux ban
50%60%
Inner Circle Academy · 14 mapsedge Fire Flux +10%Fire Flux · 6 maps
CacheFire Flux pick
50%50%
Inner Circle Academy · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Fire Flux · 8 maps
InfernoInner Circle Academy ban
43%64%
Inner Circle Academy · 3 mapsedge Fire Flux +21%Fire Flux · 10 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanInner Circle Academy remove Inferno
2. BanFire Flux remove Ancient
3. PickInner Circle Academy take Anubis
4. PickFire Flux take Cache
5. BanFire Flux remove Nuke
6. BanInner Circle Academy remove Mirage
DeciderDust2 (59% / 58%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:9
Inner Circle Academy 43%Fire Flux 57%
The model gave 57% on Fire Flux — the map was taken by Inner Circle Academy.
Cacheprediction correct11:13
Inner Circle Academy 47%Fire Flux 53%
The model gave 53% on Fire Flux — the map was taken by Fire Flux.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
Inner Circle Academy 52%Fire Flux 48%
The model gave 52% on Inner Circle Academy — the map was taken by Inner Circle Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle Academy · 64%
Series resultInner Circle Academy 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3