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CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circle Academy#87 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:1
HAVU#108 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeHAVU pick
55%73%
Inner Circle Academy · 16 mapsedge HAVU +18%HAVU · 18 maps
Dust2Inner Circle Academy pick
58%33%
Inner Circle Academy · 20 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +25%HAVU · 11 maps
AncientHAVU ban
46%36%
Inner Circle Academy · 22 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +10%HAVU · 7 maps
MirageInner Circle Academy ban
47%58%
Inner Circle Academy · 11 mapsedge HAVU +11%HAVU · 15 maps
AnubisHAVU ban
62%40%
Inner Circle Academy · 22 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +22%HAVU · 1 map
Cachepossible decider
42%45%
Inner Circle Academy · 8 mapsnearly even -3%HAVU · 7 maps
InfernoInner Circle Academy ban
50%36%
Inner Circle Academy · 2 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +14%HAVU · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanInner Circle Academy remove Inferno
2. BanHAVU remove Anubis
3. PickInner Circle Academy take Dust2
4. PickHAVU take Nuke
5. BanHAVU remove Ancient
6. BanInner Circle Academy remove Mirage
DeciderCache (42% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct6:13
Inner Circle Academy 29%HAVU 71%
The model gave 71% on HAVU — the map was taken by HAVU.
Ancientprediction correct13:3
Inner Circle Academy 63%HAVU 37%
The model gave 63% on Inner Circle Academy — the map was taken by Inner Circle Academy.
Cacheprediction missed13:8
Inner Circle Academy 46%HAVU 54%
The model gave 54% on HAVU — the map was taken by Inner Circle Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle Academy · 64%
Series resultInner Circle Academy 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3