BC Game Masters Championship Season 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
Inner Circle#39 in the world · loss 13:16series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 13:16
Acend#39 in the world · win 16:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Defaultpossible decider
60%60%
Inner Circle · 1 mapnearly even +0%Acend · 1 map
OverpassInner Circle ban
50%40%
Inner Circle · 0 mapsedge Inner Circle +10%Acend · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanInner Circle remove Overpass
DeciderDefault (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:16
Inner Circle 50%Acend 50%
The model gave 50% on Inner Circle — the map was taken by Acend.
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle · 53%
Series resultAcend 13:16
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1