PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circle#22 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
B8#15 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientB8 pick
60%57%
Inner Circle · 11 mapsnearly even +3%B8 · 10 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%29%
Inner Circle · 10 mapsedge Inner Circle +21%B8 · 10 maps
Dust2Inner Circle pick
79%58%
Inner Circle · 10 mapsedge Inner Circle +21%B8 · 8 maps
NukeB8 ban
58%67%
Inner Circle · 8 mapsedge B8 +9%B8 · 2 maps
AnubisB8 ban
50%50%
Inner Circle · 6 mapsnearly even +0%B8 · 0 maps
InfernoInner Circle ban
50%56%
Inner Circle · 0 mapsedge B8 +6%B8 · 5 maps
OverpassInner Circle ban
50%40%
Inner Circle · 4 mapsedge Inner Circle +10%B8 · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanInner Circle remove Inferno
2. BanB8 remove Anubis
3. PickInner Circle take Dust2
4. PickB8 take Ancient
5. BanB8 remove Nuke
6. BanInner Circle remove Overpass
DeciderMirage (50% / 29%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
Inner Circle 75%B8 25%
The model gave 75% on Inner Circle — the map was taken by B8.
Mirageprediction missed9:13
Inner Circle 69%B8 31%
The model gave 69% on Inner Circle — the map was taken by B8.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 · 59%
Series resultB8 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2